Cheques and imbalances: How income varies throughout the year for Universal Credit households | Policy in Practice | Benefits calculator, Data analytics for local gov
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Cheques and imbalances: How income varies throughout the year for Universal Credit households

Executive summary

Income volatility can have serious consequences for low income families on Universal Credit, affecting their ability to budget and plan ahead. When earnings fluctuate from month to month, even small changes can impact household budgets and benefit awards, and the way councils handle administration and billing.

Volatile income makes it difficult to budget which means that families are at higher risk of falling into problem debt and financial difficulty. Financial instability takes up mental bandwidth and is linked to poorer physical and mental health outcomes, while increasing the poverty premium by, for example, making it harder to pay by direct debit.

In a new study, funded by the Joseph Rowntree Foundation, we show the level of income volatility faced by a subset of households receiving Universal Credit.

By following over 70,000 Universal Credit households across seven local authorities from April 2022 to March 2023, we find that:
  1. Almost a third of Universal Credit households experience income volatility
  2. Universal Credit dampens earnings volatility for working households, sanctions and deductions exacerbate income volatility and leave households worse off
  3. Income volatility for Universal Credit recipients can impact entitlement to other benefits and eligibility for local support
Income fluctuates by £111 a month, on average, for a working household on Universal Credit

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