Earlier this year we published a series of blogs looking at the national picture of welfare reform. We used data from our analysis of the impact of welfare reform done on behalf of local authorities and housing associations. We’ve updated this national analysis using a wider spread of data from 22 authorities in England and Wales.

The Local Housing Allowance (LHA) is already affecting the majority of private tenants. When this cap on housing benefit comes in for social tenants, even more people will be topping up their housing benefit to cover their rent – or falling into rent arrears.

Our analysis is again based on anonymised household-level data, combined for three groups: London boroughs; big cities; and small cities and towns. This blog focuses on housing benefit (updated from our previous blog), particularly the under-occupation charge and Local Housing Allowance.

Our household-level impact assessment helps local authorities and partners assess the cumulative impact of reforms, and target preventative support to identified households. To learn more about our Welfare Reform Impact Analysis click here.

Almost two thirds of low income households are tenants

Tenants in social and private rented homes make up the largest groups in the datasets provided. Since the data comes mainly from people claiming housing benefit, with some owner-occupiers captured in council tax support data, this is expected. Looking at the spread below, the levels of households in these two tenures is pretty consistent: more than half are social tenants and a third private tenants.

In London boroughs, however, there is a more notable level of temporary accommodation, albeit just 2%. This reflects the higher housing costs and lack of suitable housing for homeless people in the capital, a point raised by local authority delegates at our recent breakfast briefing on the impact of welfare reforms on households in the South East. We will also be covering this area in more detail on our Webinar on November 2nd, you can register here.

Tenure of working-age households


The under-occupancy charge is not freeing up homes

A most significant political reform of housing benefit has been the under-occupancy charge, also known as the bedroom tax or spare room subsidy, which was introduced in April 2013 and affects social tenants. Working-age households with more bedrooms than deemed necessary have their housing benefit cut.

As you can see below, the under-occupancy charge affects one in four (25%) working-age social tenants in big cities, compared to one in five (20%) in small cities and towns and a lower proportion – about one in eight (13%) – in London. These figures are similar to last time, although there is a growing share of social tenants in big cities who are now affected.

There is a moderate negative correlation between the proportion of working-age people in work and social tenants affected by the under-occupancy charge. In areas where fewer people are in work, more are affected by the bedroom tax. This perhaps highlights older working-age tenants who are unable to work but still live in family sized homes.

Contrary to one of this policy’s aims – to encourage tenants to move out of larger properties – this shows that a significant share of social tenants are choosing to remain in larger homes and top up their rent themselves. The policy doesn’t seem to be freeing up family-size homes, as intended, but is reducing housing benefit costs. However, the pressure to build homes continues.

Social rented households hit by the under-occupancy charge


How private tenants are affected by the Local Housing Allowance

The Local Housing Allowance cap was introduced in 2008 and currently affects just private tenants. It limits housing benefit payments roughly to the value of the cheapest third of rents in the local area.

The chart below clearly shows how the smaller the town or city, the more private tenants have their housing benefit capped at LHA levels. Whereas under half (45%) of private tenants in London boroughs have their housing benefit capped, this rises up to two-thirds (66%) in small cities and towns.

This reflects the amount and cost of private rented properties across the country. With high rents in London, most claimants in the capital don’t have to top up their rent above the housing benefit they receive. With lower private rent levels elsewhere, this flips and most claimants do have to top up their rent above housing benefit levels.

The lower benefit cap will bring further effects, as more households will have capped benefits altogether, therefore less income to pay for housing and other costs. The four-year freeze on LHA levels will also likely see more private tenants having to top up their rents, as most landlords continue to raise rent levels regardless.

We see strong correlations in the data for LHA caps. Where more private tenants are capped at LHA levels, fewer working-age households are in work and more are receiving Disability Living Allowance (DLA) or Employment and Support Allowance (ESA). This reinforces the view that workless and vulnerable households are increasingly living in private rented housing instead of social housing.

Private tenants with housing benefit capped by the LHA


How social tenants are affected by the Local Housing Allowance

In November 2015 the government announced that the LHA cap will also apply to social tenants, for tenancies starting from April 2016 with the cap introduced from April 2018. This is a concern for social housing providers.

We’ve analysed the likely impact of the LHA cap if applied to tenancies today. The picture varies considerably across the country. The area with the highest share of social tenants to have their housing benefit limited to the LHA cap would see 38% of social tenants affected, while the lowest would see 1% affected. We can help you to understand how your local authority or housing association will be impacted, please contact us to learn more.

Two other reforms are making it tough for social housing providers. The 1% rent cut is leading to less income coming in, while the growing number of tenants on Universal Credit is leading to higher arrears, as claimants receive the housing element themselves rather than be paid direct to their landlords.

Together, all these welfare reforms are troubling social housing providers and leading to less income coming in. Many are having are facing the dilemma of cutting staff and reducing service levels while also trying to keep tenants happy. That’s a tough challenge.

Households are also affected by other reforms

We’ve focused on two particular reforms affecting social and private tenants but, of course, other measures affect them too. Policy in Practice can model the financial impact on tenants in the social and private rented sectors to understand how they are affected by individual and combined reforms. This is an essential first step to engaging and supporting them.

We’re particularly keen to work with more local authorities and housing associations jointly to model the impact of welfare reform. Working in partnership in this way also allows us to factor in other data, such as rent arrears.

Next steps

If you are a council with retained housing stock, a council working closely with your housing ALMO colleagues, or a council with close ties with housing associations in your area we can help you to provide better support to your most vulnerable tenants.

  • Read a case study of our work with Newcastle City Council and Your Homes Newcastle here
  • Register for our webinar on Wed 2 Nov, Welfare Reform Impact Analysis: How to support your most vulnerable residents, here
  • Contact us for more information here
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How the housing crisis has deepened the cost of living crisis For most people housing is the highest living cost, yet the ongoing housing crisis in the UK is often overlooked when discussing the current cost of living crisis.

This webinar will explore the policy issues affecting housing affordability for low-income households, examining the scale of the problem as well as what can be done in both the short and long term.

We will highlight important work done by our clients using data to proactively address housing issues.

We will be joined by a leading local authority to discuss a recent project conducted with Policy in Practice that used benefits administration data to identify households in temporary accommodation that could be helped to move into the private rental sector.

Join this webinar to learn:

- How UK housing policy interacts with the cost of living crisis
- How local authorities are using data to proactively tackle housing affordability problems
- Actions you can take now to support your residents dealing with housing issues alongside the cost of living crisis
27/7/202210:30 BST1.3 hours
How to identify and support Just About Managing households using data The government has said it wants to make life easier for the 'squeezed middle' or people who are just about managing. These are the families who are not rich and they are also not those on the lowest incomes. Despite most being in work, they are struggling to meet their cost of living and it is no wonder.

The cost of living hit a 30-year high in February with inflation running at 6.2% and outpacing wage growth. Electricity bills were up nearly 20% in the year to January 2022, and gas bills by 28%, with further rises expected. Private rental prices across the UK went up by 2% in the year to January, the highest rate for five years; in the East Midlands that figure was 3.6%.

We know that one in five UK adults (10.3 million people) have less than £100 in savings, one in ten have no savings at all and more than a quarter have less than £500. Many are one broken appliance away from slipping into debt.

Local authorities want to help families who are struggling now to avoid a crisis down the line yet they have little or no visibility over people who are not already claiming benefits. Now though, analysis of other datasets can be used to get a clearer picture of families who are just about managing.

Join this webinar to learn:

- Who is just about managing now but at risk in the future due to the rising cost of living
- Which datasets can be used to identify families in danger of debt
- How local authorities can target support to avert crisis
21/9/202210:30 BST1.3 hours
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